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Asian Stocks Rise, Crypto Awaits Inflation Data

The Essentials at a Glance

Despite a strong start to the week on Asian stock markets, the crypto market remains cautious. Prices are stagnating as investors prepare for key U.S. economic data. In particular, the release of inflation figures in the U.S. could provide new momentum – both positive and negative. At the same time, data from the derivatives market shows a declining risk appetite.

Asian Markets on the Rise – Crypto Remains Cautious

The start of the week was marked by a positive mood on global stock markets. The MSCI World Index rose by 0.2% to 893.88 points. Japan’s Nikkei climbed nearly 1%, while China’s CSI300 and the Shanghai Composite also posted slight gains. The reason for the optimism: new trade talks between the U.S. and China in London, focusing on critical raw materials.

Despite these positive signals, cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL) are currently showing little upward momentum. The caution is palpable – investors are waiting for new impulses.

Derivatives Market Sends Warning Signals

A look at the derivatives market shows: risk appetite is decreasing. According to data from Coinglass, open interest (OI) – the total volume of open futures contracts – in Bitcoin has fallen from over USD 120 billion at the end of May to around USD 100 billion. This suggests that fewer market participants are betting on short-term price movements.

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Futures trading volume is also declining. At the same time, liquidation data shows that many positions have been forcibly closed: Within 24 hours, Bitcoin positions worth USD 21.75 million were liquidated, and Ethereum even saw USD 35.63 million in liquidations. Solana and Ripple (XRP) also recorded losses in the millions.

This development points to a phase of uncertainty – and potential upcoming volatility.

U.S. Inflation Data as a Possible Catalyst

The focus is now on the release of U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on June 11 and Producer Price Index (PPI) data on June 12. If the figures turn out higher than expected, this could prompt the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to adopt a more restrictive monetary policy. This would affect not only stock markets but also cryptocurrencies.

Other factors that could influence the market include:

  • the ongoing U.S.-China trade talks,
  • regulatory discussions in the area of DeFi (decentralized finance),
  • and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision on the approval of a Bitwise DOGE ETF.

The current caution in the market shows: many investors are already expecting increased volatility.

Our Assessment

Crypto markets are currently in a wait-and-see mode. Despite positive signals from Asia, there is a lack of clear momentum for further price gains. The decline in open interest and the high number of liquidations indicate decreasing market conviction.

The coming days could be decisive. In particular, the U.S. inflation data has the potential to trigger new trends – both upward and downward. Those invested in cryptocurrencies should closely monitor the macroeconomic situation and prepare for possible fluctuations. Risk management is especially important during this phase.

Sources

  • Coinglass
  • MSCI
  • Nikkei Asia
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