Bitcoin’s Value Drop and Funding Rate Cut: A Potential Buying Opportunity?

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What Bitcoin Needs for an Uptrend

To see an uptrend, Bitcoin needs a significant decrease in value and a reduction in the funding rate. A buying signal could emerge when these two factors come together.

The Role of the Funding Rate

The funding rate of Bitcoin could play a crucial role in a possible price increase. It rose to 0.049% in early January as many traders went for leveraged long positions. This happened in anticipation of the decision of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding the Bitcoin Spot ETF. However, the situation has since “cooled down” as the price of Bitcoin has fallen. The current funding rate is 0.001%, which, despite the recent price drop, indicates a bullish market.

The Need for a Capitulation

According to the pseudonymous CryptoQuant analyst MAC_D, a capitulation event must occur to end the current downtrend. This would result in a mass liquidation of long positions. “If the price drops sharply and the funding ratio on the 1-hour chart becomes negative, it could mean that leveraged traders are overly pessimistic about the market, which could be a good opportunity to buy back BTC,” notes the analyst.

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Decrease in Profitable Transactions

Currently, Bitcoin is changing hands at a price of $39,956. Since the introduction of tradable Bitcoin ETFs on January 10, the value of the cryptocurrency has fallen by 13%. This price drop is due to increased profit-taking activity, which has led to an increase in reserves on the exchanges. Since January 10, the total number of Bitcoins held on exchanges has increased by 0.47%. According to CryptoQuant, 2.1 million Bitcoins are on the exchanges at the time of writing.


So, to see an uptrend, Bitcoin needs to experience a significant decrease in value and a reduction in the funding rate. A buying signal could emerge when these two factors come together. Despite the recent price drop, the market remains bullish, indicating a possible recovery.

Sources: CryptoQuant, CoinMarketCap, Santiment

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Paula Winkler

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After over 6 years in print journalism, I stumbled into the iGaming niche in 2017. One thing became evident to me quickly: Online Casino Reviews need more transparency! I joined the Team in 2023 and are the main expert for all topics related to „Player Security“.
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Last update: 19. February 2024

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