Bitcoin Eyes $131K by 2025 Amid Bullish Momentum
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Key Takeaways
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently showing strong signs of continuing its upward trend. An analysis of historical price patterns suggests that BTC could reach a new all-time high of around USD 131,800 by October 2025. This forecast is based on a recurring four-year cycle pattern that has reliably marked market peaks and troughs in the past.
Current Bitcoin Market Situation
Bitcoin has remained stable above the USD 90,000 mark for six consecutive days. Over the past week, the price has increased by 11.41%. A key factor in the current assessment is the so-called Short-Term Holder (STH) Cost Basis. This value currently sits at approximately USD 93,145. As long as Bitcoin remains above this level, there is strong evidence supporting a continuation of the upward trend.
Why the STH Cost Basis Is Crucial
The STH Cost Basis indicates the average purchase price of short-term investors. When Bitcoin surpasses this value and stays above it, it signals a bullish market sentiment. The current range between USD 71,150 (lower boundary) and USD 131,800 (upper boundary) defines the potential price targets. At present, Bitcoin is well above the midpoint of this range — a positive sign for further price gains.
Strong Accumulation Supports the Price
According to data from Santiment, approximately 20,000 BTC worth about USD 1.86 billion have been purchased over the past 48 hours. Such massive buying activity points to strong demand and further supports the price. Continued accumulation could further fuel the upward trend.
Overview of the Four-Year Cycle Pattern
An analysis by Alphractal shows that Bitcoin is currently in the so-called “markup phase.” This phase follows a prolonged accumulation period and is characterized by steady price increases. Previous cycles since 2015 confirm this pattern. Accordingly, Bitcoin could reach its cycle peak between October 12 and 16, 2025, before entering a longer correction phase.
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Technical Analysis on the Monthly Chart
On a monthly basis, a clear upward trend is evident. Bitcoin recently confirmed an important ascending support line that has been in place since 2018. A breakout above the resistance zone around USD 102,000 could pave the way for new all-time highs. Historically, such resistance levels have often been successfully overcome after an initial pullback.
Our Assessment
Current data and historical patterns support a continuation of Bitcoin’s upward trend. In particular, surpassing the STH Cost Basis and the strong accumulation are clear bullish signals. If Bitcoin continues to build momentum and breaks through the USD 102,000 mark, a rise toward the USD 131,800 range could be realistic. Nevertheless, the crypto market remains volatile. Those who invest should be aware of the risks and follow a well-informed strategy.
Sources
– Glassnode
– Santiment
– Alphractal
– TradingView
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