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Helium Drops 24% but Holds Bullish Structure

Key Takeaways

  • Helium (HNT) dropped by 24% from a local high of USD 4.50 to USD 3.40.
  • The broader market structure remains bullish despite the decline.
  • Key support zones are located at USD 3.00 and USD 2.25.
  • A sustained breakout above USD 3.70 depends on increased buying pressure.
  • A drop in Bitcoin’s price below USD 83,000 could put additional pressure on HNT.

Helium: Pullback After Strong Rally

After a strong rally to USD 4.50, Helium (HNT) has lost about 24% of its value in recent days, falling back to USD 3.40. Despite the decline, the technical structure on the daily chart remains bullish. The breakout above the previous intermediate high of USD 3.40 on April 12 ended the downtrend that had persisted since late January.

Technical Analysis: Support and Resistance

The next significant support zones are at USD 3.00 and USD 2.25. If selling pressure increases, these areas could be retested. On the upside, the zone around USD 3.70 currently acts as resistance. This is where a so-called “bearish breaker block” is located — a zone where selling pressure previously built up.

Indicators Show Decreasing Momentum

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart signals weakening upward momentum. The On-Balance Volume (OBV), an indicator of the ratio between buying and selling volume, has also failed to surpass its February highs. This suggests weakening demand. However, if OBV increases in the coming days, it could indicate the start of a new upward movement.

Bitcoin as a Risk Factor

Helium’s performance is also strongly tied to the overall market environment. A potential drop in Bitcoin’s price below USD 83,000 could trigger panic selling across the crypto market. In that case, HNT could fall back to the USD 2.75 to USD 3.00 range. Traders should therefore monitor not only HNT but also BTC closely.

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What Does This Mean for You?

If you’re invested in HNT or considering entering the market, keep an eye on the price zone around USD 3.70. A breakout above this level accompanied by rising OBV could be a bullish signal. However, if the price drops below USD 3.00, caution is advised. In a weak overall market, further losses could follow.

Our Assessment

Helium continues to show a stable market structure despite the recent pullback. In the short term, however, the price is vulnerable to external factors, particularly Bitcoin. Technical indicators like OBV and RSI suggest a wait-and-see approach among market participants. A breakout above USD 3.70 could attract new buyers. Until then, the outlook remains neutral to slightly bearish. Those trading HNT should wait for clear signals and apply proper risk management.

Sources

  • TradingView
  • HNT/USDT Chart Analysis
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