PEPE Eyes Uptrend Amid Mixed Market Signals

Key Takeaways
- PEPE is currently forming a bullish price pattern, suggesting a potential upward trend.
- However, technical indicators point to a possible correction of up to 11%.
- Spot traders accumulated PEPE worth 37 million USD over the past week.
- Declining trading volume and negative funding rates indicate potential short-term weakness.
PEPE in an Uptrend – But Facing Headwinds
The memecoin PEPE has recently formed a bullish structure. On the 4-hour chart, the price is moving within an ascending triangle – a pattern that often signals an impending breakout to the upside. However, despite this positive formation, there are clear signs of a potential price correction.
Technical Analysis: Death Cross and Selling Pressure
A major warning signal is the so-called “Death Cross.” This occurs when the short-term moving average (20-day SMA) falls below the long-term moving average (200-day SMA). In chart analysis, this is considered a sign of a potential downtrend. Currently, the price is approaching the lower boundary of the triangle – a critical level.
The Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator also shows that PEPE is in a distribution phase. This means that many market participants are selling their holdings, increasing selling pressure.
Falling Trading Volume Despite Price Increase
Over the past 24 hours, the price of PEPE has risen by 1.49%. At the same time, trading volume dropped by 36.4%. This so-called price-volume divergence suggests that the increase is not supported by sustained buying interest. Such movements are often considered unstable.
Derivatives Market: Short Positions Dominate
Looking at the derivatives market: the funding rate currently stands at -0.0097. A negative funding rate means that short traders (those betting on falling prices) dominate. They pay a fee to maintain their positions – another sign of bearish market sentiment.
Spot Traders Are Buying the Dip
Despite the negative signals from the derivatives market, spot traders continue buying PEPE. Over the past week, approximately 37 million USD has flowed into the memecoin. For comparison: the last major accumulation occurred on March 3, when 53 million USD was invested in PEPE.
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These purchases could be seen as a strategic move. Traders appear to be taking advantage of the current weakness to enter at a lower price – hoping for a later recovery.
Our Assessment
PEPE is currently at a turning point. The technical structure supports a potential continuation of the uptrend. At the same time, indicators like the Death Cross, falling volume, and a negative funding rate call for caution. A short-term correction could follow, especially if the price breaks below the lower boundary of the triangle.
In the long term, continued interest from spot traders remains a stabilizing factor. Anyone trading PEPE should closely monitor technical developments and apply proper risk management.
Sources
- TradingView
- CoinGlass